Thursday, November 30, 2006

Shutouts galore

As Leaf Nation wonders where their goals went, Sens fans are watching their team round back into form. Tonight's games should be worthy of some Sen gloating.

I'll sleep on it myself. Feel free get started though....

Leafs Look to the Road

With a 7-2-3 road record and 51 goals scored in opposition barns, the Leafs are the NHL's 2nd best road team.

They also haven't lost against Atlanta since October 2003.

Put those two things together, and one would think the planets have aligned for the Leafs to end a bad run of games.

Yet, in the star this morning there is concern from Maurice that the team is losing games despite out-shooting and outplaying their opponents. 46 shots on Tuesday resulted in one goal which deflected off Antropov's skate. Not exactly potent touch around the net.

Sundin has been back for a week. It's time he started playing like their best player again, or this could turn ugly in a hurry.

Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Emery back in tomorrow

While Stevenson thought this:
With Ray Emery still nursing a sore wrist, it would seem to be a good time to give Gerber another shot Thursday night when the Florida Panthers are at Scotiabank Place. That would give Emery a chance to have five days off if he needs them.
It would also be a good boost for Gerber’s confidence if he could post back-to-back wins.
Murray thinks this:
"I just have to make decisions based on winning hockey games," explained Murray.
"I have to put in the players in that feel they can do that on a consistent basis right now."

I think the majority of Sens fans would agree with Murray.

Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Gerber back in facing Carolina

I've been away so I haven't been able to comment on his return but here's an open post for game thoughts and Gerber analysis.

Tucker's Buddy is Here

The Leafs just traded Michael Tellquist to the Phoenix Coyote's for Tyson Nash and a 4th round pick.
Tucker and Nash won a Memorial Cup together.

Beauty Is In The Eye Of The Beholder

As a welcome home gift for The Muppet here is the clip of Darcy Tucker single handedly taking on the Bruins. Thanks to Mirtle for finding it. It has created quite a bit of discussion with the virulent anti-Leafs fans showing that glaucoma can strike anyone any time and poor put-upon Leaf fans having to try to stem the tide of blinkered hate.

This much is clear to anyone with a pair of functioning eyes: Tucker is chasing the puck until the faceoff dot where he decides he can't make it and glides into a huge hit with Chara the force of which lifts him off his feet (he is about 3 feet and 200 lbs lighter than the Sens' Old Boy). As he is skating at centre ice he sees Marc Savard charging at him and he hits him in the chest knocking him to the ice. Then Paul Mara takes offence that Tucker didn't allow Savard to cheap shot him from behind and flies at Tucker. Darcy lands the first hit, takes a few bombs, gives back a couple and then wrestles Mara to the ice.

Here is the anti-leafs version: Tucker takes 15 strides all the way until he gets to Chara where he proceeds to launch himself in the air for the final three feet of this vicious assault. Darcy then hunts down Savard, who was just checking out the crowd, before cross-checking him in the throat. Tucker then goes after non-fighter Paul Mara and tries to break his hand with the back of his head. What a goon!

I am guessing that Sens fans will see a lot more of the latter version.

Tonight, the two teams meet for the fourth time in the past month and this could be the kind of heated game that the league wanted to create when they made their division-heavy schedule. Darcy Tucker has already said that he welcomes a rematch with Mara and Raycroft laughed off suggestions by Marc Savard that the Bruins had his number:

Savard shoots his mouth off all the time, it's nothing new.

The Leafs will have had a couple of practices to work Mats back into the lineup so I expect a much more cohesive performance tonight.

Monday, November 27, 2006

Hockey Night in Jamaica

Back from my vacation with a new perspective:

First off, Senator fans, you would love Jamaica. Excellent beaches, delicious food, and zero Leaf games on Saturday night. The next time you complain about the CBC for their Toronto-skewed programming, remember that there are places where the hockey coverage is so anorexic you would kill for a steady diet of Darcy Tucker powerplay goals. I know this, because by the 5th day I would have watched a Senators practice if it was televised. No wonder Hockey doesn't grow outside of Canada.

An excellent vacation aside, it was a tough week for this particular Leaf fan. Partly because I couldn't watch a game, partly because the Buds went 2-3, but more so because the ESPN2 ticker in the sports bar kept regularly saying that Ottawa had won? I began to wonder if their satellite system was capturing last years feeds? I mean, talk about ruining a perfectly good tan.

Thankfully, news of the Tampa Bay Lightening's heroics greeted me at the airport like a smiling tour guide holding a sign with my name on it. God Bless you Martin St. Louis.

So, in catching up on all the news I have only one stone left unturned:
Where the hell can I see some video of that Tucker hit on Chara?

Johan

We know him now.

Saturday, November 25, 2006

Everybody Loves Darcy

Mike Zeisberger's review of the first quarter of the season is pretty standard:
Ottawa Senators: Starting to find their way...

"from the depths of the Eastern Conference" must have been omitted. The review also contains a bombshell:
"The surprise for me right now is Tucker and the amount of goals he has for Toronto," Ruff said. "He's been a pleasant surprise. I would not have picked that."

Considering he was calling for his head at the end of last year that's pretty big of Lindy. First Peca, now Ruff, how long until Jochen Hecht says that Tucker is his inspiration?

In other news, the Leafs crushed the Brashear-less Capitals 7-1. Wellwood continued his three game scoring streak, Bryan McCabe stretched his point-scoring streak to 8 games, and Lindy's new best friend scored his team-leading 16th. How big of a blowout was it? Hal Gill scored a goal and picked up an assist. Tomorrow the Captain returns against the Bruins and I will be in attendance.

Friday, November 24, 2006

Points Per Million

With every payroll dollar becoming that much more valuable in the cap era, I thought I'd have a quick and dirty look at how much bang for the buck our two favourite teams are getting (and compare with a few league leaders):






















How meaningful are these? It's interesting to consider how Crosby is obviously a major outlier, but at some point his PPM is going to drop precipitously as his salary rises. It seems reasonable that Tucker and Neil have comparable (and relatively high) PPM's, but quite absurd when McAmmond and O'Neill look to be a better bargain than Rod Brind'Amour (plus there's that whole Stanley Cup winning captain thing). The rub is that while a Peca, Sundin or Alfie appear to be on par with a McGrattan, they each take up the same percentage of their respective team's roster as he does.

I haven't shown defensemen, as stay-at-home types are bound to get a bad rap, but the goalie stats (in terms of standing points earned) are instructive:

If you were to tell me...

...that in the closing days of November the Senators would find themselves in a must win situation against the Florida Panthers:




Well, I'm not sure if I would have laughed your ass out of the room or placed a pretty hefty bet against your assessment.

UPDATE: Still climbing out of the hole. Potentially a big loss on the blueline - just as he gets rolling along, the A-Train sustains a lower body injury.

Shake That Moneymaker

Tonight the Leafs travel to Washington to take on both Alexander the Greats (that's what happens when you have two good Alexanders on one team), Olaf Kolzig, and a bunch of nobodies. One guy they won't have to worry about is Donald Brashear. He went after one of the Thrashers cheap shot artists, Vishnevski, who previously went after Michael Peca's knee so I am not entirely broken up about the pummeling that Brashear delivered.

Japers' Rink has a good roundup of the pre-game. I did not know that the Caps had dropped 4 in a row. They are primed to deliver a great performance and of course it will come at the expense of the buds.

For those not blessed with LeafsTV the game will probably be available on the amazing TVU Player. I use it to follow Liverpool's games when they are not broadcast and it is a great program. They usually broadcast the game that gets the most votes in the forum and thanks to the legions of Leaf fans it is usually that night's Leafs broadcast.

But I have this awesome car....

Toronto Maple Leafs player Ian White is facing charges of driving while disqualified, CTV News has learned.
The promising young defenceman was stopped by police on Saturday and charged.
It is the second time White has been in trouble with the law in recent times.
He lost his driver's licence after he was convicted in September of impaired driving.
CTV

The guy makes over $500,000 a year. He could afford his own driver let alone pay for cabs for the year he's off the road.

'When a crusher becomes a rusher, he soon becomes an usher.'

That line is from Cherry. The article is Domi talking about Neil.

'Movie features gay Leaf'

The Star has an article on a new movie coming out 'Breakfast With Scot'. Some groundbreaking stuff here I guess:
What makes this movie even more unique is that the NHL and the Maple Leafs — part of a sport where no player has ever come out of the closet — have given the filmmakers their blessing to use their logos and uniforms. The Leafs have even agreed to let them do some filming with them at the end of a practice next month.
I found this part of the article in bad taste however as I was sure it was just an unfounded rumour:
The closest an active Leaf player has come to declaring their homosexuality was when it was discovered that Wendel Clark and Toller Cranston rented an apartment together.

Thursday, November 23, 2006

From Russia With Love

The Sens' pre-season solution to their second line question has been ripping the organization (along with most of the fans) from his self-imposed exile. Now, the Sens have finally responded:
He's smart, skilful, small and afraid, and that combination kind of leaves you wanting when you come into a building like this (The Wachovia Center in Philadelphia).

I would have thought that those traits would have made him a perfect fit for Ottawa. Unfortunately, Bryan Murray, that brilliant strategist, could not find a place for Kaigorodov to contribute:
We saw him play, and I had to make a judgment whether we keep Dean McAmmond, Kaigorodov or Denis Hamel or Brian McGrattan. When (Muckler) asked me, I said, 'I don't see where he's going to contribute to this team right now.

I guess there was no way he could give up Hamel's 4 pts (3-1), McGrattan's 1pt(0-1), or McAmmond's 7pts (3-4) to fit the solution to their longstanding problem area. Good managing.

A plea to Bryan.

Okay. It's time. Fire Paddock.

We are now getting heckled by Leaf fans! Leaf fans!?!

David Johnson:
The good news is if the Senators keep this pace up you won't have to worry about yet another playoff early exit disappointment.

On the other hand, there are those that think otherwise. A good comment by Gee:

Everybody relax. Easier said than done (for me too!) but, firing Paddock before the next game is very reactionary.

This is essentially the same team as last year, minus Comrie and Saprykin, but with 5 more Stanley Cup rings in the room.

They were going to have a bad month. It was probably going to be February. I've been saying this since October. They rolled strong out of the gates partly because their summer was short and they never really lost their old conditioning. Who knew it was going to be this bad? Ok, yeah nobody.

Coming in first in the standings. doesn't matter. It doesn't. Really. Honest. It's WAY better to take that lead and use it to fix whatever ails you.

What ails them? The goaltending situation. It's frustrating as hell to watch. But it's not the only issue, and it's not as bad as it feels after two blowout losses.

We have lots of time for either of these two goaltenders to get hot by end-of-season. Both have been in the SC final before. Both are in good health. This is a

If they can string together a few wins despite the not great goaltending, the team is going to get stronger. The goaltending is gonna get better too, and finally, the d-men will be able to work within one system (not, for Ray I do this and for Gerbs I do that...)

About that: Saturday's game was important because it showed an ability to beat a hot, loaded team in the East, to come back, and to find a way to win (thank you Alfie). These two losses are alarming, but making a coaching change based on those two losses it probably a little hasty. I know it's not JUST based on that, but c'mon. This is a team in second in the east.

The role guys, the veteran SC/leadership guys in the room, have not had a time to become strong enough in the locker room yet. This will change by mid-March or so. This team is going to be a lot cooler and a lot more confident come playoffs.

The Sens need 23 more wins this season to win the Stanley Cup. Only 7 of those need to be in the next 5 weeks (18 games). Extra wins? They don't count.

So there you have it. Fire him or don't. Just win baby.

This will cost...

Who knows how much Darcy Tucker is going to command as a free-agent but this sure won't help keep the cost down:

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The Leafs dropped a heartbreaker last night against the Flying Sabres. The game seemed to turn early in the second when the Sabres scored while on a powerplay following a perfectly executed double gainer by Chris Drury followed by a Brian Campbell tally. However, the Leafs fought back to tie the game on a great Mike Ryan tally (nope, he's not a Leaf) and Tucker's 15th. Unfortunately, a miscommunication between Raycroft and Kaberle led to Briere's winner and the Sabres added two empty netters to seal a 7-4 win.

The score is not indicative of the game as the Leafs controlled much of the second half (I missed most of the first half) and showed once again that they can play with the best team in the league. Friday night the Leafs travel to Washington before they host Boston on Saturday. I'll be at the latter game and hopefully I can get some better pictures.

In great news, Mats will be returning Saturday (fingers crossed) and JFJ got his option picked up! (Note: only one is exciting and keep Senior in your prayers)

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

All's well that ends well

The Sens win in OT and the Leafs lose.
Salad dressing be damned.

Say it so....

I weep.

Um, it was for Garrioch, right? Right?

Leafs v. Sabres: Where are the fans?!

As Don pointed out, the haute couture segment of Leafs Nation has frequently embarrassed the true fans of the team. Tonight, however, will show that those true fans represent la creme de la creme (ummm, where are the accents?) of fandom. Toronto's followers will routinely fill the rink in Ottawa, Montreal, Buffalo, and even Columbus and Pittsburgh now. Meanwhile, the same cannot be said for the support of the aforementioned clubs. Sure, Toronto is expensive but the opposition in those cities raise their prices for Leafs games and gouge fans of the blue and white.

Tonight's game will probably feature a fairly evenly split crowd hoping to see the Leafs continue the Sabres woes against Ontario-based teams. The Leafs' goalie with a heart of gold Andrew Raycroft will be looking to reprise his game-saving role from the last Leafs-Sabres meeting, one of his best performances of the year. Paul Maurice will be banking that the players' fear from Monday night will be incentive enough to step their game up the level necessary to compete with the Sabres. The Soviet Bloc and Wellwood will continue to be counted on to provide the offence until Mats returns on Friday or Saturday.

The last time these two teams met the talk (Edited to clarify) among my friends was all about how badly the Leafs would be beaten. The talk again is that if the Leafs do not perform significantly better than in the last three games that they could go the way of the Lightning. Hopefully, the negative talk spurs the team into again producing a top-notch effort in the Queen City.

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Some proper respect

I was one person who was very critical of Volchenkov's play early this year so I feel like I should give him some praise now. He has ended up being one of the most reliable defencemen this season so far and has racked up some good numbers that don't show up on the scoreboard. Yes, he's 2nd in blocked shots in the league. He's 11th in the league in hits and some of those have been momentum turners - the reason for his A-Train moniker. He's also been on the ice killing penalties more than any other Ottawa Senator.
It's great to see the A-Train back on track.
Note: Volchenkov is one of 4 Sens D-men who are free agents at the end of the year. (He and Schubert are RFA while Phillips and Preissing are UFA.)

Slow Down

The Leafs scored a 4-2 win over the Islanders on the strength of continued strong goaltending and a first period three goal outburst. Andrew Raycroft looked strong in his return and Kyle Wellwood took a shot without having to be threatened with bodily harm.

Before sens fans start crowing about their revival, they have quite a lot of ground to make up:

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Fourth in the Northeast, wasn't that where the Leafs were supposed to be?

Monday, November 20, 2006

Who Needs Poppy McGroin?



Those do not include tonight's win, where he stopped 42 of 45 [!] shots.

Fools. His name is Ray.

Leafs v. Islanders: Battle of the Head Coaches

Tonight the Leafs host another team that is exceeding expectations on the back of a new head coach. Ted Nolan has the Islanders playing great hockey and can boast five wins in their last six road games. It is good to see the former Jack Adams winner back in the game after being blackballed by the NHL for (insert rumour here).

The Leafs welcomed Andrew Raycroft and Aleksander Suglobov back to the fold. After a terrible fight by Wade 'Encino Man' Belak against Cam 'I jump when I hit' Janssen, Sugar gets a chance to try to re-ignite a stagnant Leafs offence. The Soviet Bloc and Wellwood will be looking to turn their superiority (10 of 34 shots against New Jersey) into goals while the defence will be trying to maintain their excellent streak of play that has seen them concede only four goals in the past three games.

One of last year's games ended 9-6 for the Leafs. Anything approaching that sort of offence would be welcome for the Leafs as the calls of 'where are the goals going to come from?' have awoken after a period of slumber.

Fans

Guess which rink this is during the start of the 2nd period:
Why it's the Air Canada Centre....

PPP was there and snagged a couple of those empty Golds. I realize that most of these seats actually had people in them at some point during the game but, like the true fans that they are, they must have been studying game film in the Platinum Club:
Before, during, or after a game, guests can indulge in the many services the club has to offer, as the restaurant holds their table for the entire night. As a result, if fans want to have a leisurely dinner before the game, they can. Or, if they just want to enjoy a glass of wine and appetizer, return for their main course after the first period, and come back later for dessert and a port or liqueur, the staff at the Platinum Club will have everything taken care of.
And check out the stats - Ottawa is 2nd in the league with a 103.5% attendance capacity. The Leafs are way down there at number 3 with 103.2%
Make sure you look at it today as I think the Ottawa number will be dropping after tonight's game.

A run

First off - Grapes - it's way too late to call for Alfie to be traded. That's so 2-4 months ago.

The Sens play the Wild tonight who are on a bit of a slump after winning only 2 of their past 7. Afterwards, the team plays 10 games where only Carolina is more than 2 games over 0.500. A great chance to put up some Ws and get back in the top 8 in the East. We are only 5 pts behind Washington who sits 8th.

Or, another way of looking at it....

How many stretches like this are there? If they don't make up the ground they've lost then we're screwed!

Saturday, November 18, 2006

Leafs v. Devils: Game Day Thoughts

The Leafs host a Devils team fresh off piling more doubt onto the mind of sens fans. J-S Aubin will get a chance to make amends for the 7-6 debacle that saw a potential rout turn into a painful loss. That game seemed to portend a dire future for the team but the Leafs responded by going 9-4-2 in the 15 games since.

The team will also be buoyed by the news that captain Mats Sundin will be making his return during the back-to-back games against the Bruins the 25th and 28th of November (hopefully the 25ht because I will be at that game).

Andrew Raycroft is targeting Monday's game against the Islanders for his return but in his stead Aubin has been stellar.

The Leafs will be looking to play the same type of game that they did in the first two periods against the Devils last time out. A hard, successful forecheck and plenty of traffic led the team to a 6-3 lead. As always, Patrick Elias and Brian Gionta will be the danger men for the team from Jersey. Chris McMurtry notes that Jamie Langenbrunner-Zach Parise-Travis Zajac formed a dangerous trio in the Devils triumph over the sens.

Coming off a middling performance against the Bruins Maurice will be looking for a much better showing from Kubina and the non-top line forwards. The Leafs had the Devils' number and hopefully tonight they can recapture it.

Sens - Sabres

Has there been a bigger regular season home game for the Sens in the past few years?

Melnyk spoke after the win in Buffalo about standing behind the management. How did the Sens respond? By putting 13 shot on Brodeur in the first two periods and getting behind 3-0.

Almost like they sent a message back, no?

If they haven't stopped playing for Murray and Muckler then you should expect to see one hell of a motivated team tonight. But shouldn't we have seen that last night?

I expect we'll see less than that. I think this team wants Murray fired.


UPDATE: Okay - maybe I'm wrong. 50 shots on the Sabres tonight. A big win to be sure.

Friday, November 17, 2006

ON A SILVER PLATTER

Here's a look at the Senators vs Leafs draft position for the first six years the Sens were in the league:

1992: Ott 2 - Tor 8
1993: Ott 1 - Tor 12
1994: Ott 3 - Tor 16
1995: Ott 1 - Tor 15
1996: Ott 1 - Tor 36
1997: Ott 12- Tor 57


That is FIVE years with a top three pick, and all they had to do to get that talent was be a terrible hockey team. So are the Sens the incredibly smart drafting team that Sens fans are claiming all over this forum, or does the fact they couldn't translate this string of good luck into playoff success actually prove otherwise?

*Of note: In 1999, Ottawa DID take Havlat in the 26th position. The best player in the first round by far and a stellar choice. The Leafs chose Luca Cereda in the 24th position that same year. He never made it to the NHL because of a heart condition.

El Diablo! Mos dios! El Diablo!!!

Sens fans sit with nervous anticipation of tonight's game against the Devils. The Devils had won 6 of 7 before Tuesday's collapse against the Rangers.

After last Friday's win against the Pens we thought the Sens had turned a corner but 2 losses quickly changed that. A win against Jersey tonight and there will be a good mood in the rink on Saturday night. A loss and the fans might be a little testy again. Such is life.

As Melnyk says:
What you’re seeing now is passion. The opposite, I would get very scared. If nobody cared, if nobody was screaming, if people weren’t calling into radio shows, if they weren’t sending e-mails, then I’d be worried.

Thursday, November 16, 2006

Leafs 1 v. Bruins 2 (OT): Early Reaction

Well, the Leafs looked just like a team that had not played since Saturday. They were fighting the puck, were a split second slow all night, and had numerous miscommunications.

On the bright side, J-S Aubin stole a point for the good guys with his amazing display. The top line of Antropov-Wellwood-Ponikarovsky gave the Bruins fits but they were not able to translate some good possession into goals. Pavel Kubina played pretty well considering his trans-Atlantic voyage to welcome Tereza into the world (read: not very well).

It is another point for the Leafs and will help them shake the rust off in anticipation of a busy stretch that sees 5 more games in the next 9 days starting with the Devils at home. The Devils will be coming off a hard game with the sens the night before, where they will be looking to avenge their 8-1 slaughter, and based on the performance tonight the Leafs will be coming off a hard practice.

"Kaberle for the Norris. The campaign begins now."

Right. And Peca for the Selke, Raycroft for the Vezina, and Maurice the Adams. The Muppet was correct - not enough for the Toronto media to write about.

Leafs v. Bruins: Game Day Thoughts

The Leafs return to Boston tonight to contest the second in a string of games that would make Bill Murray question his sanity. Of course, during the Leafs last visit our number 1 goalie pulled his groin during a 6-4 triumph and Andrew Raycroft remains in the press box where he shares wobbly pops with The Captain. JS Aubin will be handling the tending duties and he will have the Leafs newest father (congrats to Steen too) Pavel Kubina patrolling the front of the net. This will be only the fourth game in which the Leafs $20M defence will be together.


Keys to the Game
  • Goaltending: Last time out the Leafs got it and the Bruins, hilariously, did not. The Leafs managed to get outshot 17-10 in the first period but left with a 3-0 lead. Tim Thomas will probably get the start tonight and will try to improve on the team's horrendous 3.8GA/game.

  • Shooting: The Leafs would do well to pepper the net with shots. Considering that the Bruins are 28th in shots against at 33/game and Toronto is 1st in shots for at 35.1/game I expect it to resemble a shooting gallery.

  • Special Teams: It will be a battle of the nines as the ninth-ranked powerplay (Boston) will face the ninth-ranked penalty kill (Toronto). The Bruins won this battle last time going 2 for 5 but it was not enough. Clearly they will want to keep the PP off the ice (Discipline boys!) but they also have to ensure that Bostons speedsters like Patrice Bergeron and Phil Kessel are not able to isolate Hal Gill. He is great in the stationary penalty kill but I think the word 'lumbering' was invented to describe his skating. Kind of like 'shaky' was invented to describe Ottawa's goaltending.

  • Stepper-uppers: The Soviet Bloc will have to continue their strong play. Nik Antropov and Alexei Ponikarovsky combined for 3 goals, 3 assists, and were +8 last Thursday. Both players used their size to torment the Bruins defence and Poni used his speed to create scoring chances. If both players continue their recent strong play then the Bruins will be hard pressed to find an answer as despite being the size of a sequoia Chara can only cover one player at a time.

Overall, if the Leafs can play their puck pressure game they should be in good shape. The Bruins defence is suspect past Ottawa Old Boy Zdeno Chara and the Bruins offence is top-line heavy. Boston is probably tired from chasing AO around the ice last night. If Tim Thomas is more Gerber than Raycroft then the Leafs should prevail.

No Lionel Hutz

Who is Sheldon Plener?

After listening to some people it sounded like Melnyk sent a money man to beat on Mlakar, Muckler, and Murray.

Well, from reading his bio, I think Plenner has a little more sports knowledge than you might have thought:
Today he is a Director, Secretary and an Alternate NHL Governor for the Ottawa Senators, and a Director and Secretary of Scotiabank Place. He is on the Board of Directors of St. Michael's Majors and is a Governor of the Ontario Hockey League representing St. Michael's Majors. He is also an authorized player representative for the Professional Lacrosse Players Association.

He was also the primary lawyer involved in negotiating the terms of the Toronto Raptors' Basketball Team expansion agreement with the NBA and was the Founding Secretary of the Raptors. Some of his other sports-related clients include Pat Quinn of the Toronto Maple Leafs and Glen Grunwald, formerly of the Toronto Raptors.

The Simple Case for the $3.7M Bench Sandbag

Can be made by debunking the Sunk Cost Fallacy:

In short, a sunk cost is an expenditure made in the past that cannot be modified. Neither now nor in the future. A sunk cost is a cost that cannot be recovered. The English language has a nice expression to describe it in plain words: "There is no use crying over spilled milk". The milk won't flow back into the saucer pan. Many people nevertheless behave as if there was a hope that the milk would go back where it was.

The Sunk Cost Fallacy is an informal logical fallacy in which it is argued that the amount of time, effort, or money already invested in a project justifies the investment of yet more time, effort and money in order to complete the project.
This is a fallacy because the actual economic calculation which needs to be made is whether the project would be worth completing at the cost of the investment which still remains to be made.
Following the dictates of the sunk cost fallacy is sometimes referred to by the curious phrase "throwing good money after bad".


Martin Gerber's $3.7 M contract is an expenditure that cannot be modified. Neither now nor in the future. It is strange to hear mild justifications for keeping him as the starter simply on account of the money already invested by the organization. That money will be sunk whether he plays lights out for 70 games or pops in and out of the lineup in a backup role (unless you seriously entertain the notion for a trade of essentially equal value at this point in the season).

Ray Emery has earned the right to be the number one tender. Gerber will be a quite sufficient backup. Forget the contractual albatross and go with the winner. Does it need to be anymore complicated than that?

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Who Sleeps Most Soundly Tonight?

Sens 4 - Sabres 2

Muckler? Murray? Alfie? Spartacat?

I think Schaefer's twitchy reaction to the third goal sort of summed up the team's attitude after the horn went. Did the bullet really come that close to my head?

Room for improvement remains of course - although the PP got a couple of goals, there remains those disconcerting moments when a random glance at the clock is needed to confirm - holy shit - they've still got the man advantage! A need to respond to the Sabre's explosive speed seemed evident as well, with the exception of Fisher, Volchenkov and a few others at times - didn't they look like they just slept off a nasty jag on the couch? The overall game pace was fast, but everyone looks slow compared to Buffalo. Meszaros appeared to be as paralyzed by the blitz as he did last May.

Time to get a little shut eye and try not to let the hawkish gaze of Mean Gene Melnyk's right hand man intrude on your dreams.

NHL: Not As Dumb As They Look

The NHL has announced that they are partnering with YouTube to provide content on its own specialized channel. Apparently, someone in the league office reads blogs. In addition to highlights within 24 hours the NHL will provide "off-ice" content which I can only assume means some player profiles, team histories, and other features designed to build interest in the game.

This move is in stark contrast to the NFL who kicked down YouTube's doors, figuratively, to get footage removed. Added to the recent deal with Google this shows that the NHL is serious about becoming more accessible to fans.

No word yet on when highlight compilations of the sens-Leafs playoff series would be available.

His name is Ray

Emery gets the start tonight. Pressure?

Murray Watch

How much more water will Muckler allow on board before he does something? Is he going to sink for the sake of Bryan Murray?

I don't think so.

Bryan Murray's shortcomings in the post season are well known. In addition, before last year he hadn't coached a team into the playoffs for almost 15 years.

The time for patience is over.

Who should go behind the bench? You've got John Paddock there as an assistant. There are a few Sutters still around. Iron Mike might even be an option. Hitchcock?

Comments

We'll be moving over to a new commenting system over the next few days.
Wish me luck.

Leaf Nation in holding pattern

First off, thanks for bringing me and PPP on! He’s a bad cop, which means I will try and be the good cop, or er, a not-so-bad cop. We’ll see how it goes.

It’s a funny time in Leaf Nation, the first stretch where we don’t play 87 times in a week. Talk about anti-climatic. Scanning the news, it’s not surprising to find no real news on the Leafs. Kubina had a baby… Sundin lost his last few hair follicles… Darcy Tucker was spotted buying his own Kewl gear at Play It Again Sports… times are a little thin.

One bit of news: Raycroft will be out for a few more games. This shouldn’t be a worry. Aubin has collected 25 of his last available 30 points. Besides, you get the feeling the Leafs could win with Antropov in net. Maybe even Gerber.

A Real Battle

Hello, I am PPP. You might remember me from such posts as The Life of Bryan, Class Is In Session, and Forbes Doesn't Do Hockey. Thanks to everyone that voted myself and The Muppet as the new Leaf contributors. We'll do our best to add insult to injury, rub salt into open wounds, and kick the sens when they are down (it's all the rage now!).

In that spirit, let's take a look at the all-star ballots that were released today. Mirtle laments the inclusion of so many unworthy all-stars:
If you're looking for interesting and/or quirky names available for selection, there are a few. In the East, you get your pick of the injured (Henrik Tallinder, Wade Redden, Maxim Afinogenov, Mats Sundin), underperforming (Henrik Lundqvist, Alexei Zhitnik, Patrik Elias, Daniel Alfredsson, Peter Forsberg, Miroslav Satan), unknown (Brian Campbell, Alexei Zhitnik) or just plain washed up (Alexei Zhitnik). In the West, how about two (!) Coyotes, two Blues, two Blue Jackets and five Canucks?

The credibility of the all-star game is saved by the omission of one Martin Gerber. First Colbert and now Forlund, the Carolinas have produced some great satirists.

Note: Ninja pointed out that The Mad Hockey Blogger is creating a new statistic called HIQ. Check out the results for the Leafs. Hopefully, soon we'll have more concrete evidence that the sens just are not as good as the Leafs.

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Twins!

Jay and I are happy to welcome Pension Plan Puppets and The Muppet to the blog. They were the choices of the readers and their names rhyme.

I've booted the AWOL Leaf contributors - if they want to come back of course they simply need to let me know.

Welcome aboard!

Well, if they aren't going to fire the coach/GM...

David Johnson has looked into some potential dance partners for Muckler should he look to move our captain.

Reality check

"One year ago, the Senators owned a 19-3 record through their first 22 games. Since Dec. 1 of last year, they are 39-28-10 in the regular season or, in real terms, 39-38." Stevenson

The new benchmark

I heard this from Murray during the post game show:
"The guy gave up five goals and he gave us a chance to win the hockey game. That's the way I felt about it," said Senators coach Bryan Murray. "That was as strong a game as he's played for us. He made huge stops in a couple of cases."
Yup - that stop he made on Plekanec's 84 ft wrister to stop the Habs from getting the backbreaking 6th goal was crucial. The team just couldn't follow his lead.

My new idea - have Murray coach Gerber in Binghamton where he can praise his 5 goals against performances. Give John Paddock the reigns - the guy at least won a couple of AHL championships. Melnyk can suck up Gerber's salary and Muckler can have the cap room to make a move.

Monday, November 13, 2006

Loud

Just before game time. A ton of Habs fans here - great atmosphere.

I'm 4 rows from the Sens blueline on the penalty box side. Someone up there likes me.


First period over: A lot of tension here. After Mtl scored the Gerber chants were started by the Hab fans - I think some Ottawa fans joined in.

Game over: The Sens come alive with a PP goal and then Gerber let's in a classic Lalimesque goal to kill the Sens. He was on his knees more than a kneeing kneer.
Christ.
Buffalo, Jersey, and Buffalo up next. 6-10-1 now. How much pain can Melnyk endure?

At the game

I'll be at tonight's game and if the Sens end up losing tonight I'll probably go through the range of thoughts that Eric Duhatschek does in this post:
If the Ottawa Senators’ slow start continues and they ultimately decide to make a change in the front office, who gets the chop first: GM John Muckler, or coach Bryan Murray?
....
Sometimes, sitting in the weeds, fighting adversity throughout the season, but eventually, finding your way is a recipe for playoff success. It hasn't worked the other way for Ottawa. Maybe this has been the secret plan all along - they just didn't bother telling anybody about it first.

"Ottawa is confusing"

Kaigorodov's interview back in Russia:
The obvious example is their goaltender, Gerber. He has been proven to be terrible in the first six matches. Eventually they tried the other goalie and they won a game, but in the following game they again put in the Swiss goalie and lost. Ottawa is confusing, they put in the young goalie and win, then put the Swiss one back in and lose again.
Sigh. Proven to be terrible. QED.

UPDATE: He's in net again tonight and Redden is out indefinitely.

New Leaf Member for the Battle of Ontario

So, I think we've got a good sample from the persons interested in joining in the fun here. Here are their posts:
What you dont want to see on the main / front page, and you only want to see on the item page
FiveO:
Let’s call it “The battle of the overpaid defenceman"
BoO Poll

Patrick:
The Leaf prospect pipeline

The Muppet:
Leafs defence now a thing of envy?
Where is Alfie?
Sundin dished off to Alfredsson!
The truth about Ottawa

The Mad Hockey Blogger:
Battle of Ontario Losing Steam?
Sens Going After Critics?

Pension Plan Puppets:
The Life of Bryan
Class Is In Session
Forbes' Doesn't Do Hockey

Can people send me a mail on who you think would be the best addition to the team.

Feeling badly for management?

Strange:
I was able to get an answer to the question on a lot of Senator fans’ minds. Is Melnyk’s patience with management running out? The answer to that, at least a day after the Atlanta collapse, was an emphatic no. In fact, when we sat down at Bert’s and talked hockey, he said he was feeling badly for management. And not at all in a “I feel badly for you because I’m about to fire you” sort of way of a “I feel badly for you because you deserve better” sort of way.

Sens Going After Critics?

It would appear that the Sens are feeling the heat, and apparently lashing out at the fan-base seems to be their recipe for fixing what ails them. This is of course speculation, and I am not implying any of this is true (down Sens lawyers, down!).

For a bemused Leafs fan, this does explain why a fool like Gord Wilson continues to collect a pay cheque. It is true that every organization out there employs their share of homers, but the Sens-sational sycophantic shilling abilities of the neophytes that report on the glorious team from Kanata have always seemed to push the limits.

For the record, I will gladly host the firemuckler.ca and firemurray.ca sites for free on a fast, U.S. based server out of the reaches of Mlakar and his henchmen.

If you run these sites, drop me a line.

(This post was written by The Mad Hockey Blogger. His second entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

Saturday, November 11, 2006

Open post for tonights games

Leafs - Habs should be a good one. Sens - Bruins has some potential but when they played two weeks ago it was brutal.

Friday, November 10, 2006

5-3 now

I can't take it!

GO SENS!

UPDATE: We schooled those pretenders! Bring on B-town.

The truth about Ottawa

These last two weeks we’ve heard it all regarding the Sens magnificent fall from grace.

Is it the PP?
Is it Muckler and Murray?
Is it because Alfredsson stopped eating Wheaties?

Thing is, Ottawa fans and the Sens themselves seem so focused on what’s wrong with them, that they have yet to figure out what’s changed everywhere else.

The NHL has collectively improved this year. Almost every team has armed themselves with a chance to win any given night. In the east, the Islanders, Habs, Pittsburgh, Toronto and Washington all have winning records so far this year. That’s five teams who have moved into the hunt that weren't there this time last year. It’s huge. We're talking about a tightly fought and vicious Eastern Conference where the 12th place team may be 4 points behind the 8th place team come May. One slip up and you’re gone.

While this is all happening right before their eyes, the Senators look to be standing around wondering why they aren't the best team in the east anymore? Guys like Jason Spezza, a player who has never known adversity or struggle (remember, he didn’t WANT to play for the Ice Dogs so he left for a better team), and everyone else seem unable to cope with the fact that every night isn’t the cakewalk of past Novembers. The reality check remains without a check.
Its like watching a rich person lose their fortune but still refusing to admit they must toil with the regular folk.
And while the entitlement is gone, the sense of entitlement looks to be dying a slower death.

So when will things turn around for the Sens? When will this still heavily talented team get their act together and start winning games?

I’ll tell you: When they finally realize that they are no better than any team out there and start clawing and fighting and battling like there is no tomorrow, like there are no easy minutes, and like they really want it.
That’s when.

But hey, keep blaming it on the Powerplay. I’m just one opinion.

(This post was written by The Muppet. His fourth entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

Friday quiz

It's a Friday afternoon at work and you don't know what to do.... Try to figure what team / who Erin is talking about.

Forbes' Doesn't Do Hockey

Financial magazine Forbes just released it's report on the health of the NHL titled The Business of Hockey. It includes a look at the best selling jerseys in the NHL (you'll find some surprises there), the success of the Buffalo Sabres, and a ranking of franchise values. No surprises here as the Leafs beat the Sens:

Name: Toronto Maple Leafs
Rank: 1
Current Value: $332 mil

Name:
Ottawa Senators
Rank: 14
Current Value: $159 mil
The report doesn't really contain any earth shattering revelations. It touches on the league's need for better TV contracts, that team values have risen thanks to the fixed nature of players' salaries, and that revenue sharing needs to be improved. However, in it's feature on the Ultimate NHL Franchise it features this entry for GM:

General Manager: John Muckler
The Ottawa Senators' GM has achieved the best on-ice results compared with his team's payroll. His wins-to-player cost ratio has averaged 146 (46% better than the typical team) over the past three years, the best in the NHL.
Hmmm. Maybe this report isn't as insightful as it purports to be.

(This post was written by Pension Plan Puppets. His third entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member.)

So how 'bout 'em Leafs?

If you didn't see Sherry's panic meter, check it out. Very good.

Mudcrutch on the Sens

A really good analytical look at the Sens scoring issues, the call for a 2nd line center and the PP ends with the conclusion:
It doesn't make sense.
Go read it.

Pens - Sens

Think the Pens are as confident as their fans?

From Igloo Dreams:
Here's a radical idea for tonight: Put the Sens on the power play early and often. Their power play so far this year has been quite poor, even more so lately. During their current 5 game losing streak, they are just 2-29 on the power play. To strengthen this (admittedly ludicrious) case further, the Sens have allowed 5 shorties (they only have 7 goals on the power play all year) and the Pens have scored 4 shorties. I beat the heck out of Spezza, Alfredsson and Heatley, take some early minor penalties, and then deploy two PK units, one with Moore and Talbot and the other with Staal and Armstrong. For extra offense, you mix in Crosby and Malkin once in awhile. Should be a blowout!

I'm sure this is a bit tongue in cheek but can't say I'll be hoping Ottawa goes on the PP.

Gerber is in net for the Sens again. This seemed a strange thing to read:
Hindsight is 20/20, but Gerber told Murray he probably should have left the game after getting stunned with a shot off the neck from Atlanta's Scott Mellanby early in the third.
Throwing in Kelly Guard against possibly the best offence in the league would have been better?

Class Is In Session

Once upon a time the Ottawa Senators were viewed as the acme of the 'new' NHL. Off to a 19-3 start and seemingly on their way to a Stanley Cup it all looked rosy for hockey fans in the nation's capital. Fast forward 12 months and one more springtime capitulation and the Sens find themselves in the midst of their worst losing streak in a decade and looking up in the standings at the boys in blue and white. Thankfully, despite their hard times, the Sens and the Lisp have continued to provide guidance to others in the NHL. The Leafs were clearly watching the Sens past two games and took a few lessons to heart.

Lesson # 1 - Get a big lead
The Leafs jumped out to a 3-0 lead in Boston tonight on the back of a Darcy Tucker powerplay goal (#1 in the NHL), Michael Peca's 400th point (could have been a Senator), and a Chad Kilger deflection.

Lesson # 2 - Get solid goaltending
While Martin Gerber was allowing 4 goals on 26 shots against the Capitals and 5 goals on 31 shots against the Thrashers, Andrew Raycroft made 28 saves on 30 shots before tweaking his groin. Martin Gerber was signed to a 3 year $11.1M contract while Andrew Raycroft was given a 3 year $6M new deal. Apparently one good year behind the NHL's best team and one good game against a underperforming Canada outweigh a season of excellence. One more reason to fire Muckler.

Lesson # 3 - Don't let the backup shut you down
The Sens failure to score on either Atlanta or Washington's second string goaltender cost the Senators both games. Their inability to stretch the lead allowed the Thrashers and the Capitals to slowly work themselves back into the game. The Leafs did the exact opposite. They added a quick 4th in the second period on the back of Ponikarovsky driving to the net and Antropov following up to pop in the rebound. When the Bruins scored their first Ponikarovsky provided the eventual margin of victory by tapping in a rebound off of Kyle Wellwood's shot.

Lesson # 4 - Don't let an injury to your goalie cost you the game
When Martin Gerber took a shot to the shoulder/neck area it left him visibly shaken and resulted in weak tying and winning goals. When Andrew Raycroft went down with a suspected groin pull, I think the reaction of every Leafs fan was 'OH SHIT OH SHIT OH SHIT'. The Leafs, however, kept working and while they gave up two powerplay goals (geez those boards are bouncy in Boston) they did not give up the equalizer. Some would call that a test of character and the Leafs passed.

The Leafs put the Senators lesson plan lesson plan to good use. Without their captain and one of their top defencemen the Leafs went into Boston and defeated the Senators old friend Zdeno Chara. The Senators will follow in the Leafs footsteps with a Saturday night game in Boston. Maybe they will follow the Leafs example and pick up a win but the laziest team in the NHL won't like the hard work it will take

Thanks Sens!

(This post was written by Pension Plan Puppets. His second entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member.)

Sundin dished off to Alfredsson!

It’s been well documented: Mats Sundin and Daniel Alfreddson play some damn good hockey together.
They would probably become the best one-two punch in the NHL if they were on a line.

Of course, we haven’t seen too many mid-season trades between division rivals since probably the original six days, but what if the Leafs traded for Alfredsson?
Ok, it’s crazy, silly, would never happen... But say you were the GM on either side. Who would you offer or who would you expect in return for this trade to happen?

Keep in mind Alfreddson makes about 4.7 Million, and with salary cap you would want to send around the same money back. Package deals could work too (although no Jason Spezza to Toronto. I would kill myself).
You will find Leaf player salaries here and Senators salaries here.

Be fair.

I’ll go first. It would hurt, but you have to give up something of value. I would trade Kaberle and one of Sugolbov or Tellquist.

(This post was written by The Muppet. His third entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

Thursday, November 09, 2006

The Life of Bryan

With the Senators in the midst of a 5-game losing streak and mired in mailaise since the beginning of the season the calls for the heads of John Muckler (see FireMucker.com/ca) and Bryan Murray (FireMurray.ca is up and running) have become louder and more urgent. The case for Muckler's firing has been laid out pretty conclusively but why get rid of Murray? Well, mostly because his tenure has already covered the full extent of the Bryan Murray Experience.

Here, cherry-picked to prove a point, are the season's relevant to Senators fans:

Year Team Record Win% Playoff Result
1983-84: Washington Capitals 48-27-5 .631 Lost in Round 2
1984-85: Washington Capitals 46-25-9 .631 Lost in Round 1
1985-86: Washington Capitals 50-23-7 .669 Lost in Round 2
1991-92: Detroit Red Wings 43-25-12 .613 Lost in Round 2
1992-93: Detroit Red Wings 47-28-9 .613 Lost in Round 1
2005-06: Ottawa Senators 52-21-9 .689 Lost in Round 2

Those last three playoff exits are famous for their meeknes.

1991-92 saw the Wings cough up a 3-1 series lead to the San Jose Sharks.
1992-93 will be familiar to Leaf fans as Nikolai Borschevsky became a folk hero with a Game 7 OT winner after the Wings coughed up another 3-1 series lead.
2005-06 as everyone saw on TV ended as the team captain and top defenceman watched a 3rd line grinder skip past them both and score the series winner...shorthanded.

Six times Murray has coached a team to a plus-.600 winning percentage only to bow out meekly in the first or second round.

Muckler's failures are documented, Murray's shortcomings are evident, and the less said about the Senators players' mental toughness (see: Playoffs) the better.

The answer to the survey is secret answer e: Fire Muckler, Fire Murray, Make a trade for a proven leader.

(This post was written by Pension Plan Puppets. His first entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member.)

Fire Murray

They've got the website I wanted to see going.

Your options:
- Fire Bryan Murray
- Fire Murray & make him GM
- Keep Murray as coach
- not sure

Go vote Sens fans.

What do you think of option 2? Time to hand the GM reigns to a new generation? I mean - he was actually born during WWII and not 5 years before it.

Battle of Ontario Losing Steam?

So the GM's, busy schmoozing, boozing and taking in some of Toronto's culture (Ed: NSFW), decided to stick with their original three-year plan and keep the current un-balanced schedule for next season. Glad you guys all got together to agree to do nothing. Actually, that sounds like every meeting I have ever been a part of, but I digress...

For Leaf fans, this can mean only one thing; 12 more losses to the Senators by at least a touchdown. Personally, besides the fact that I rather feel that the Leafs/Sens games have become a bore (well, after it is 5-0, so about 10 minutes in), I just don't like paying for NHL Center Ice so I can watch the Buds get taken to the woodshed by the laziest team in hockey. Maybe I can convince DirecTV to refund me for these games... and yes, the Sens are the laziest team in hockey simply because they have the laziest player in hockey, one Jason Spezza. He seems to have infected the whole team lately, and this is a point that even the most die-hard Sens fans (yes, both of you) could agree to. It was a struggle, but he somehow managed to wrest that title away from perennial front-runner Alexei Yashin. Kudos Jason.

Of course, in calling the Sens the laziest team in hockey, I open myself to criticisms like, "How can the laziest team in hockey beat the Leafs by 25 goals a game?". Clearly, logic would dictate that either: 1) The Leafs are the laziester team and I am a liar, or 2) my brain checked out long-ago when it comes to the Leafs and 'logic'.

Lets go with a little of both and call it even. I truly believe that the Leaf players are 'over' this rivalry. They are sick of playing the Sens, sick of looking at Neil furrowing his brow at the bench, sick of the whole deal. It's as if they decided, "Look, we beat them in the playoffs four straight seasons, they are dead to us."

I can't say I blame them for the attitude in general, but they are clearly forgetting one important point. They actually NEED to beat the Sens more than once a season if they would like to play hockey when it counts. Heck, I know I am sick of going into work everyday, with their dress-codes and their "don't sleep in your cube" rules, but I still have to do it. How else would I keep myself living the life of luxury, awash with the finer things in life?

They have to suck it up and play like these games matter, because they do. Bitching and moaning about it, something they mastered during the Quinn era, is a cop-out and Leafs fans should rightly demand that they play these games with more passion. If the laziest team in hockey can do it, the 'new' Leafs sure as hell better match them out there inch-for-inch. If they can't man-up and play these BoO games with some passion and self-respect, something the Sens have shown in spades, I will gladly pass the torch of laziest team onto the Buds, because it will be well deserved.

(This post was written by The Mad Hockey Blogger. His first entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Press It - You Know You Want To...



Fifth Straight Loss, Third Straight Lead Blown

I will never make fun of the Southeast division again.

UPDATE: A quick check of the sitemeter indicates the search terms "fire+john+muckler" drawing plenty of disgruntled eastern Ontario fans to our humble outpost.

If you want the full Muckler rap sheet, Hockey Country and The Universal Cynic have laid it all out for your consideration. I can't believe he let Todd Simpson walk! Seriously, though if there's a specific reason to throw Muckler under the bus, I think his biggest failure has to be not landing a serious #1 goaltender when the club was in its pre-cap prime. Emery will grow into this role, but when you think about that 03/04 window, having someone who capable of making one or two clutch saves per game would've made all the difference.

Where is Alfie?

NHL.com ran this story, which ranks of the top ten captains in the NHL.

Mats is there, as he should be. So is Sakic. Even Naslund squeaked in according to the writers.

However Alfredsson is MIA on this one. If he can’t crack the top ten on a team as successful as Ottawa, what does that say about him?

(This post was written by The Muppet. His second entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

BoO Poll

Which route do you think they should take?

(This post was written by Five-O. His second entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member)

A little hole to fill

TSN: Mats Sundin will be out of the Toronto Maple Leafs lineup for three to four weeks with a slight ligament tear in his right elbow.

Antropov practiced in his spot. Could be a long November.

Win Tickets

Quick:
Q) There have been at least 13 players who have played for both the Atlanta Thrashers and the Ottawa Senators. Name 10 of them.

This from the Thrasher's blog. Also, in giving reasons to come to the game they write:
4. Make fun of Canada. Alright, I kid... kind of. There's a fine line to be walked when it comes to teasing the visiting Canadian teams because 12 of the 22 players on our roster are Canadian (the Senators also have 12 canucks on their roster). That being said, the video scoreboard guys always seem to find a way to get in a few nice digs when those wacky Canadian teams come down for a visit. Will we see some Canadian Bacon clips? How about Strange Brew? Maybe even some Men With Brooms- the greatest curling movie ever made.

That'll draw the crowds. I guess they've got to try something. BTW - Canuck should always be capitalized - he should know that!

He called us names. - Called us names!

The Sens deny Ovechkin's charge.

Melnyk's mood

Here's a good post by Steve Warne of the Team 1200. He quotes parts of Melnyk's open letter to the fans last spring. Steve's off to Barbados today and expects to see the owner at the bar.

In that letter, he basically staked his own reputation on this club improving and so far it’s not happening. Call me crazy but I have a feeling his patience might be wearing thin.

Keep in mind, this start comes on the heels of yet another playoff meltdown. The Sens wilted after the Game 1 collapse. Then their season ended a few days later with Daniel Alfredsson and Wade Redden being reduced to spectators by a third line penalty killer. Both players had a chance to stop Jason Pominville but they opted for the lollygag route. They gently poked at him like my grandma vainly fishing around for the last runaway fondue meatball.

In most companies, when you screw up like that in such a monumental moment, it’s unforgiveable. But Melnyk stayed patient and retained his hockey operations staff, which in turn forgave both players. In fact, Redden got a big raise, along with Jason Spezza. That meant they had to cut bait on Zdeno Chara and Martin Havlat. They spent big on Martin Gerber, who’s gone 2 and 6.

Melnyk trusted that these were all the right moves. And history may still show that they were the right moves. But, between the playoff demise in May and this year’s start, I’m sure Melnyk’s trust in his current staff has now been badly shaken. Perhaps I’ll get a read on his demeanour this week.

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

I'd chose Murray but whatever

The 'Fire John Muckler' option is the leading vote getter in the poll being conducted on FireMuckler.ca

UPDATE: Looks liks FireMurray.ca is on the way.

Expanding the readership

Some great discussion over at the Stevenson blog:
It makes the comments here seem so trivial.

UPDATE: Chris tells us Emery's out for a bit with an upper body injury. The team has called up Guard.

Radical

With trade rumours swirling and GM John Muckler at meetings in Toronto, coach Bryan Murray changed all his lines at practice this morning after the club blew a 3-0 lead against the Washington Capitals, losing 4-3 in overtime.

Garrioch at Slam Sports.

So, Murray decides the answer is to go back to the lines he started the season with. Genius. This is the type of thinking at only comes with the 110 years of experience that Murray and Muckler bring to the table.

LEAFS DEFENCE NOW A THING OF ENVY?

It wasn’t long ago that the Leafs defence was a subject of ridicule throughout the NHL. Aki Berg probably summed it up best, a guy who once cut from the team is not even playing in the NHL. And who can forget Cory Cross?

Things have changed.

The Leafs got serious about drafting and developing defenceman and it’s finally paying dividends. With the added depth of off-season signings, and a bunch of guys about to come back from injury, soon Toronto will have a pile of NHL defenceman and nowhere to put them.

With Mcabe, Kaberle, Kubina and Gill filling out the top four, who else do you play? Ian White has been near-sensational playing over 20 minutes a game, and Colaiacovo has all the tools of a star but spends most of his time injured. After that, in no particular order, are Harrison, Bell, Kronwall and Wozneiski... All showing they can fill a bigger role than 6th or 7th D-man.

What do the Leafs do? Is it time to trade some of these guys? Ian White is probably the best trade bait right now. Do you package him with a few players and try for a blockbuster?

(This post was written by The Muppet - the third entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member. The first two can be read here and here.)

Knee Jerk time

My opinion: Fire Murray.
He inheritated a system from Jacques Martin with Hasek added and they went on a tear the first two months of the season last year. Since then the team has been totally average.

Other Sens fans:

McMurty:
UP NEXT:
A pretty big trade or a pink slip, I think. I'm not panicking as much as most of you are, but I have to think the top brass can sense the level of discontent and they'll do something, even if it's not necessarily the right move.

Sens Underground:
People are calling for Alfie's head, Murray's head, and Muckler's head. People have it right. It's in their heads. The players heads. They have the ability to get it done. Is a coaching change in order? Is a GM change in order? Is a Captain change in order? Nope! A mental shift is in order. Once they listen to the coach and get their heads out of their asses, all will be fine

AQG:
I want to believe this is the sort of thing that can be fixed. I want to believe that some sort of chemistry or compromise can be coaxed out of them, through team bonding exercises or grueling roadtrips or fights, but the New York Rangers are the living proof to contest that. And you know, shame on me for saying this a month into the season, but the team's had plenty of opportunities to prove otherwise. And they still do.
(Not that Leaf fans should talk. Out of our 5 measly wins, 3 are against you.)

More....

Mendes:
I was always one to say, "Give it a few weeks - it's too early in the season to make changes." But after witnessing Monday's game in person at the Verizon Center, I think changes are in order ASAP.
I would like to canvass Sens Nation right now, to see what changes you would like to see happen in Ottawa. I've heard so many theories thrown out there, but I would like to get a consensus opinion from Senators fans.

Nicks:
There was a time when the Senators were capable of taking their foot off the gas after securing a 2-3 goal lead. After said lead was obtained, the team went into a defensive-mode shutdown -- one of the signature moves of Jacques Martin's repertoire. It wasn't exciting, but more often than not, it was effective in the regular season.
Currently, the team seems content to secure a lead, without further planning that will ensure a victory.
Whose handiwork is this? The team's? Bryan Murray's?

Sager:
The most worrisome aspect of the Ottawa Senators' latest collapse -- coming from ahead to lose 4-3 to the Washington Capitals -- is this quote the Washington Times attributed to Alex Ovechkin, who said the Sens were laughing and joking after they got up three goals in the first period:
"It looked like their (attitude) wasn't very good," the Times quoted Afleet Alex. "That got us angry."
When the sub-.500 Sens let up on the first game of a long road trip, that's a troubling sign.

Monday, November 06, 2006

Tonight's games

The Sens go into DC and play the Caps who beat the Flyers on Saturday. Gerber is getting the start after Murray had originally tagged Emery to play. He said Gerber looked good in practice. I imagine he's been waiting all year for Gerber to look good and try to get him on some type of roll. Redden is still out.

The Leafs host the last place Flyers. After handing the Sabres their first regulation time loss will Toronto keep up their game or will they take Philly for granted? Expect to see Red Hot Raycroft in net again.

Current Standings

Best goals against in the conference!

They're at $232.28 - just $9,767.72 to go.

From the Battle of Alberta:

Craig MacTavish was fined $10, 000 today for his criticism of referee Mick McGeough following last night's debacle against the Stars. As I noted late last night, I think it would be a nice symbolic gesture for the hockey blogosphere, and in particular the Oilogosphere, to help pay the cost of MacT's fine. I think enough of us in hockey land have had enough of Mr. Magoo's antics, and this is a good way to show it. As Tyler noted in the comments last night, we can send whatever we raise to MacT. If he doesn't want it, we'll request that he give the cheque to the Canadian National Institute for the Blind, or another suitable charity of his choice.

Wrap-up

So the Leafs measured up fairly well on the weekend. Anyone going to re-assess their expectations for the buds this season yet?

As for our Sens: Another dismal performance on the PP, another one goal loss, a closed door players only meeting afterwards, and more Alfie trade rumours.

I guess it's a good time for a four game road trip.

Saturday, November 04, 2006

"Go Back To Russia"

The prospects for Kaigorodov developing into Ottawa's second line centre just got even more sad and pathetic:
The Senators centre was officially suspended by the club yesterday when he balked at being sent to the club's AHL affiiliate in Binghamton and jumped on a flight back to Russia.

Kaigorodov, who has already received part of his $600,000 signing bonus from his $2-million contract, will rejoin his club Magnitogorsk after his failed experiment to play in the NHL.

Kagorodov, 23, a much-ballyhooed signing by GM John Muckler in the off-season, simply wasn't good good enough to be the club's second line centre and didn't look like he has the desire to compete.

Does this have any impact on the salary cap if his ~$1 M is effectively declined or is it a sunk cost?

Barney's original admonishment can be found here.

Saturday night's the night for commenting

... if you have no one else to ask/complain/gloat to.

Open post for game thoughts.

What to say

From TSN's backchecking:
"I've never met a classier individual in my life. I've met a lot of sports people but he's a top-notch, quality person." - Islanders coach Ted Nolan, on Alexei Yashin

Friday, November 03, 2006

Weekend Reading

In the comments of a good post on JFJ by Bitter Leaf Fan, I saw a link to the thesis "Memory, Modernity, and the City: An Interpretive Analysis of Montreal and Toronto’s Respective Moves
From Their Historic Professional Hockey Arenas " prepared by Lisa Anne Gunderson a few years ago for her Master of Arts in Sociology.
In Chapter Five this new emphasis on multiculturalism was described as one of the reasons why Montesano, among others, experienced the Maple Leaf Gardens closing ceremony as "awkward." The Toronto case examined here showed the Maple Leafs organization as a strong symbol for the traditional WASP elite class in this city, and the kind of place they built. As such, Maple Leaf Gardens symbolized the old, dated, and even ‘backwards’ aspect of Toronto. What is interesting is how the Gardens are also venerated as a traditional place of civic pride and hockey glory. Yet the power of the ideology of progress and the belief in Toronto’s new orientation to multiculturalism can be seen in the influence it has in creating and shaping newer presuppositions of Torontonian identity.
It's 140 pages or so. There will be a short quiz on Monday.

Saturday Night

A couple of interesting games for our teams tomorrow.
The Sens host Carolina who lost last night 4-0 to the Habs. Expect to see Gerber between the pipes to face his former mates.
The Leafs play the East leading Sabres. This one is a measuring stick game for the Leafs.

Thoughts? Predictions?

Rally 'round the captain

Maybe the trade rumour is just what the team needs to get into the 'us vs the world' zone that is sometimes needed.
"As long as I'm here, he's going to be the captain," said Senators coach Bryan Murray yesterday. "If the decision were to be made (that Alfredsson) won't be the captain anymore, it's not going to be made by me.
"I see what this guy does for the team. I know the role he plays and the respect he gets in the dressing room.
"He's our leader. The players respect him and Daniel Alfredsson cares about this team. He wants to have success and he does everything he can to have success."
and...
"I don't think there's one guy in the room who would listen to (the criticism)," said Senators defenceman Wade Redden. "We all know what he means to our team and what he does for us, even though he hasn't scored piles of goals. He's the key
guy for us and the leader. Everyone looks up to him."

The story is now that the Sens are the shoppers and the Kings the sellers as they aren't happy with Conroy's performance.

Thursday, November 02, 2006

Eddie!


As another version of the Belfour / Long Island Bar / Water bottle tripping Auld story comes out the Leafs face their old goalie when he's on a hot streak.

From the rockin' Belfour.com press section I found this article:

Panthers coach Jacques Martin never doubted Ed Belfour would play like a standout goalie again.
Even after Belfour gave up four goals on nine shots in his season debut at Atlanta this month, Martin expressed confidence that Belfour would again resemble the future Hall of Famer he has been most of his career.
That has happened quickly. In his past two starts, Belfour stopped 60 of 64 shots in wins over Philadelphia (3-2) and the New York Rangers (4-2). Since the Atlanta debacle, he has allowed only 10 goals on 122 shots for a .918 save percentage.


UPDATE: 2 Goals on 25 shots for the Eagle. A nice win against his former buds.

It's only Nov 2

A few interesting points made by Mendes today.

Sometimes change is good

Remind me why Sundin, Koivu, Alfredsson, and Naslund deserve to the the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 5th longest serving captains in the NHL.
Colorado Avalanche: Joe Sakic 1995
Toronto Maple Leafs: Mats Sundin 1997
Montreal Canadiens: Saku Koivu 1999
Ottawa Senators: Daniel Alfredsson 1999
Vancouver Canucks: Markus Naslund 2000
Edmonton Oilers: Jason Smith 2001
Los Angeles Kings: Mattias Norstrom 2001
Calgary Flames: Jarome Iginla 2003
Florida Panthers: Olli Jokinen 2003
Phoenix Coyotes: Shane Doan 2003

Game video

From Raking Leafs:
Now you can download full-length NHL games and watch them on your time. Whether it's a memorable game or a keepsake of your first in-arena experience, NHL Video is always available on Google.
video.google.com/nhl.htm
Won't be free for long. They have Ottawa's games up to the Boston match and seem further behind on the Leafs games.

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Sometimes life isn't fair

Marian Hossa had 16 shots tonight while Carolina had 18 in total. Atlanta lost 5-2.

Off the wire...

Sportsnet:
According to CFRA radio in Ottawa, the Senators Wednesday night game versus Montreal was attended by four pro scouts from Los Angeles -- one of which is rumoured to be watching captain Daniel Alfredsson.
Does this actually make sense? If you are interested in making a move for Alfredsson and you send four pro scouts to a game would only one watch him? Maybe I'm reading it wrong.

The Leaf prospect pipeline

Most Leaf fans will undoubtedly be aware of the Leafs' ill-fated strategy in years past of trading high-end prospects and draft picks in exchange for veterans of dubious quality. While attempting to "buy a championship" is, under the new CBA, next to impossible, the management of the team thought it a reasonable solution for immediate problems, one of which was placating rabid fans.
Recently, however, new winds have swept through the NHL and brought about a welcome change in philosophy regarding drafting and development of young players. While the Leafs are ranked rather low on the prospect potential scale, there are still a decent number of budding young players who will most likely be making a name for themselves in a few years time.

First on the list is goaltender Justin Pogge, Canada's golden boy during last year's undefeated march to the WJC title. The rangy Albertan won every award in sight last year: WJC Gold Medal, WJC Most Valuable Player, WHL Player of the Year, WHL Top Goaltender of the Year and CHL Goaltender of the Year.
Currently sharing duties with Jean-Francois Racine and Mikael Tellqvist on the Toronto Marlies, Pogge has put up impressive numbers (.931SV%, 2.35GAA, 1SO) despite having lost two of three games. Pogge has a shot at becoming the No. 1 goalie for the Marlies over the course of the season, and possibly cracking the Leafs roster in a year or two. Looking at his stats and achievements has me convinced that the trading of Tuukka Rask (who I'll be going to watch next week) was not a bad deal at all.
It's obvious that Aubin and Tellqvist would have been in dire straits if placed in the spotlight of the No. 1 position on the Leafs.

(This post was written by Patrick - 'a Torontonian and a Leafs fan from birth, now living in Finland'. The second entry in the search for a new BoO Leaf member.)

Frickin' PP

Looking at this stats page is frustrating.

2nd last in PP% - 6 PPG scored, 4 SHG allowed. It's ridiculous.

Spezza, Heatley, Alfredsson, Corvo, and Meszaros all played over 7 minutes on the PP last night. Those five guys got the most PP time in the Boston game too. Murray keeps putting those guys out there I guess hoping they'll figure something out. It's not working.

We don't get to play the Leafs 50 times a year - they're going to have to figure out how to score on real teams.