I have taken a look at the Power Play and Penalty Kills numbers from the 2003/2004 to help better define my new NHL statistic - Special Teams Effectiveness. It is defined as PPGF+SHGF-PPGA-SGHGA (and if you don't know what those acronyms are you don't care about hockey anyway). Here is how the teams rank. (standard method in brackets)
1) DET 31 (1)
2) TBL 24 (13)
3) OTT 21 (2)
4) NJD 15 (11)
5) NSH 14 (23)
6) TOR 11 (5)
7) PHI 11 (3)
8) COL 9 (3)
9) SJS 9 (10)
10) NYI 8 (9)
11) CGY 7 (17)
12) ATL 6 (17)
13) ANA 3 (7)
14) BUF 3 (15)
15) VAN 3 (14)
16) MIN 2 (24)
17) DAL 2 (11)
18) STL 0 (8)
19) MTL -1 (19)
20) CBJ -1 (20)
21) FLA -4 (6)
22) LAK -10 (27)
23) WSH -12 (16)
24) BOS -13 (20)
25) CHI -17 (22)
26) EDM -17 (28)
27) PHX -19 (25)
28) CAR -25 (30)
29) PIT -27 (26)
30) NYR -36 (29)
Does it surprise anybody that Detroit, Tampa Bay and Ottawa are the top three tops in the stat? And notice the huge jump that Tampa Bay makes over the percentage technique. That and Florida is nowhere as good as the percentage technique would have you believe.
posted by Greg Staples
If you want to use this stat you have to add in some type of ratio to account for the difference in the numbers of Penalty kills versus Power Plays. One team can have 200 Power Plays and 2 Penalty kils so their stats would be very scewed.
ReplyDeleteAlso you'd need to take into account the Penalty Kills where there were no goals scored against and power plays where there were no goals scored for, if you want to use that kind of fomrula for Speacial Teams.
Then it gets to complicated, it's just easier to use PP% and PK%